Ron Paul surges in South Carolina
January 13, 2012
American
Research
Group
Mitt Romney leads the South Carolina Republican presidential primary with 29%. Newt Gingrich is in second place with 25% and Ron Paul is in third place with 20%.
Paul has gained the most and Rick Santorum has lost the most since the last American Research Group survey on January 4-5. In that survey, Paul was at 9% and Santorum was at 24%.
Gingrich and Romney are tied among self-identified Republicans with 29% each, followed by Paul with 18%. Paul leads among independents and Democrats with 29%, followed by Romney with 27%, Gingrich with 12%, and Rick Perry with 11%.
Gingrich leads among those likely primary voters saying they are supporters of the Tea Party with 28%, followed by Romney with 24%, Paul with 20%, and Santorum with 11%. Romney leads with 33% among those saying they are not supporters of the Tea Party or are undecided about the Tea Party, followed by Gingrich with 23%, and Paul with 21%.
Gingrich leads among evangelical Christians with 40%, followed by Perry with 15%, Romney with 13%, Santorum with 12%, and Paul with 10%. Among likely voters saying they are not evangelical Christians, Romney leads with 48% and followed by Paul with 33%.
Gingrich leads among men with 29%, followed by Paul with 23%, Romney at 18%, and Santorum with 14%. Among women, Romney leads with 38%, followed Gingrich with 22%, and Paul with 18%.
These are the complete poll results:
| South Carolina | |
| Likely Republican Primary Voters |
Jan 11-12 2012 |
| Gingrich | 25% |
| Huntsman | 1% |
| Paul | 20% |
| Perry | 9% |
| Romney | 29% |
| Santorum | 7% |
| Other | 2% |
| Undecided | 7% |
Comparison to Past Surveys:
| South Carolina | ||||||
| Likely Republican Primary Voters |
Apr 2011 |
Jul 2011 |
Oct 2011 |
Nov 2011 |
Jan 4-5 2012 |
Jan 11-12 2012 |
| Bachmann | 5% | 13% | 5% | 3% | ni | ni |
| Barbour | 2% | ni | ni | ni | ni | ni |
| Cain | 1% | 10% | 26% | 10% | ni | ni |
| Daniels | 1% | ni | ni | ni | ni | ni |
| Gingrich | 9% | 3% | 8% | 33% | 24% | 25% |
| Giuliani | 4% | 6% | ni | ni | ni | ni |
| Huckabee | 20% | ni | ni | ni | ni | ni |
| Huntsman | - | - | - | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Johnson | - | * | - | - | ni | ni |
| Karger | - | ni | ni | ni | ni | ni |
| Palin | 10% | 16% | ni | ni | ni | ni |
| Pataki | - | ni | ni | ni | ni | ni |
| Rand Paul | 2% | ni | ni | ni | ni | ni |
| Ron Paul | 1% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 20% |
| Pawlenty | 2% | - | ni | ni | ni | ni |
| Perry | ni | 6% | 15% | 8% | 2% | 9% |
| Roemer | - | 2% | - | - | ni | ni |
| Romney | 18% | 25% | 25% | 22% | 31% | 29% |
| Santorum | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 24% | 7% |
| Trump | 13% | ni | ni | ni | ni | ni |
| Other/Undecided | 11% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 9% |
Read more about these results…
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