The results of a new study have been published on Nature Climate Change.
CO2 does not cause global warming as stated by climate alarmists. However, it is exactly on CO2 that the globalists behind the global warming religion have pinned their hopes to completely deindustrialize the West and to further impoverish the third world.
Unfortunately for the members of the Climate Change Church, the latest news on global CO2 emissions will not help to make their case. CO2 emissions will fall in 2015 for the first time during a period of strong global economic growth, according to a study published on Nature Magazine.
The unexpected observation was announced at a time when international climate negotiations entered a crucial final stretch in Paris. Representatives or NGOs, politicians and corporations have not achieved an agreement at the COP21 yet as the UN-sponsored meeting draws close to its last hours.
Emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2), which are deemed to be the result of burning fossil fuels, had seen a strong growth in previous years, but have now stabilized. In 2015, CO2 emissions receded slightly by 0.6%, according to the study published in the journal Nature Climate Change.
While CO2 emissions seems to have decreased, the global economy, according to official numbers, grew by 3.4% in 2014 and is estimated to grow 3.1% this year.
“Contrary to what happened in past periods without emissions growth or slow growth, world GDP grew substantially in those two years,” researchers said.
Sustained investment trend among global GDP growth and CO2 emissions is considered an important step in efforts to refocus the global economy towards cleaner fossil fuels as well as alternative sources of energy that do not include inefficient production and use of wind and solar energy.
The study, presented by a panel of more than 70 scientists who scrutinize the levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and their emission sources, are not sure if their measurements reflect the fact that the planet is in the midst of reaching the “peak” from which emissions begin to decline.
“Time will tell whether this surprising interruption of emissions growth is transitory or a first step towards stabilization,” say the authors.
“We still can not celebrate. Two years of apparent stabilization of emissions are not a trend,” said Martin Kaiser head of Greenpeace international climate policy.
It would be interesting for the sake of scientific credibility if climate alarmists employed the same caution requested by Kaiser when claiming that the world is on the verge of armageddon because their measurements show warming.
The study published on Nature explains that one of the reasons for the pause in CO2 emissions may be the decreasing use of coal to generate electricity in China, although this may not be the only cause. The study does not evaluate the role of oceans in determining how much CO2 disappears from the atmosphere, for example, even though oceans significantly influence CO2 concentrations.
The 195 countries negotiating a global agreement on climate change in Paris are seeking to limit global warming to + 2 ° C relative to the average temperature of the preindustrial era, which is the base for the complete deindustrialization of the West.
According to Todd Stern, the chief US negotiator in the COP21, the report had not yet had a tangible effect on Monday in the negotiations. “Obviously it’s good news,” he said.
According to climate alarmists, voluntary measures taken or promised by 185 countries participating in the summit would achieve limiting warming but not enough to prevent the planet extreme events such as rising sea levels, floods and droughts can trigger mass migration and increased poverty.
None of the participating organizations, political bodies or corporations that are pushing for decarbonization policies has shown any proof that supports the statement above, but they are firmly pushing for more radical measures that may mean the implementation of policies that deny developing nations the opportunity of reaching economic development.
A change in the energy matrix of the world’s largest economy ( China) was the main cause of the fall in emissions, the study said.
China’s energy needs continued to grow apace, but 60% of the energy increase came from non-fossil fuels. A quarter was supplied by gas, 17% came from oil and almost no coal, the most polluting source of all.
The last part of the study’s statement is what has confused more people worldwide. Climate alarmists have called for the complete elimination of coal as a source of energy, mainly for industrial activity while offering no tangible solutions. Coal has been demonized by those behind climate alarmism and consequently, people believe there cannot be a clean future unless coal is banned.
“The most unexpected of all in our projections was a fall of 3.9% of China’s emissions in 2015,” largely achieved by less use of carbon, at least during the first eight months of the year, say researchers.
Emissions from the European Union and the United States fell 2.4% and 1.4 respectively in the last decade. These reductions in CO2 emissions are likely due to the decrease in economic activity which are directly related to the global economic downturn.
The main problem of global emissions in the next decades seems to be India, they said, even though India’s current emissions are only comparable to those of China 25 years ago.
India’s challenge is to provide energy to 1,3 billion people, of which 300 million currently live without electricity. Solar and wind energy would not be likely solutions to substitute current forms of energy due to inefficiency in production and delivery methods. Should the current agenda at COP21 succeed, a large majority of these people would be condemned to living under standards comparable to the Dark Ages.
“For the global CO2 emissions to reach their peak rapidly, India needs to radically change energy technologies to low carbon ones,” researchers conclude. Unfortunately, the only available sources of alternative energy would not meet India’s needs.