For some reason, every time I point out that Russia is moving the chess pieces around the board and that we should all pay strict attention to this, a bunch of people pop up in the comments section and tell me that I’m being mean to poor Vladimir Putin and that he’s just a really good guy looking out for his country and that Barack Obama is a fiend.
Good grief, people. I’m not picking on your KGB friend. I don’t like Obama any more than you do. You guys who smugly call me a neo-con or an Obama apologist make me feel like I’m trying to get a litter of golden retriever puppies to read Tolstoy. Cute, feisty, but definitely struggling with reading comprehension.
I’m just reporting the fact that unless something happens to radically change the course of things, we are headed for war.
I am doing everything I can to warn people that actions are being taken on both sides that are signs that our governments are preparing for armed conflict.
And much like when your kids are fighting, it doesn’t really matter who starts it. When the kids are rolling around on the floor exchanging punches, they are both in big trouble.
Except in our case, although it doesn’t matter who starts it, it is the people of both countries who are in trouble. We’ll be the ones to suffer when stuff starts blowing up.
On to the actual story.
Russia’s moving nukes around
The BBC has reported that Russia has moved nuclear-capable weapons to Kaliningrad, the western reach of its territory. Sandwiched between Lithuania and Poland, the situation is being monitored closely by both countries as well as NATO.
The Iskander-M missiles have a range of 400 miles(700km) and could easily reach Poland, Estonia,Latvia, Lithuania, and northern Germany.
The Russian enclave can only be reached across land by travelling through at least one European country. It’s a strategic location: the only port on Russian territory that remains ice free for the majority of the year. For this reason, Russia has based its Baltic Fleet there.
Apparently, this is old news. Official sources say the missiles arrived last year during military exercises in the region. General Igor Konashenkov told a press conference on Saturday:
“First of all, the authors behind the fuss should know that the Iskander missile system is a mobile one…
As part of the combat training plan, units of the [Russian] Missile Forces throughout the year improve their marching capabilities by covering great distances across the territory of the Russian Federation in various ways: by air, sea and on their own.” (source)
Russia and the United States have seen a deterioration in relations that has escalated over the last few weeks. Finland, Sweden, Estonia, and Latvia have all recently reported violations of their airspace by Russian fighters.
These are not the only missiles Russia has deployed of late. Mobile anti-aircraft missiles were moved to Syria last week. The Defense Ministry confirmed the move:
“Indeed, the Syrian Arab Republic received an S-300 anti-aircraft missile system. This system is designed to ensure the safety of the naval base in [Syrian city of] Tartus and ships located in the coastal area [in Syria]…” he told the media. (source)
The S-300 missiles join the S-400 system that was moved to Syria in November of 2015. The S-400 is considered the most advanced missile system in the Russian arsenal.
It’s possible the S-300’s were moved after Washington indicated it may be considering a bombing campaign that would target Syrian government forces and the infrastructure – or what’s left of it – that supports them.
Russia’s Defense Ministry has cautioned the US-led coalition against carrying out airstrikes on Syrian army positions.
Russian Defense Ministry spokesperson General Igor Konashenkov said:
“…any missile or air strikes on the territory controlled by the Syrian government will create a clear threat to Russian servicemen….
Russian air defense system crews are unlikely to have time to determine in a ‘straight line’ the exact flight paths of missiles and then who the warheads belong to. And all the illusions of amateurs about the existence of ‘invisible’ jets will face a disappointing reality…
Of particular concern is information that the initiators of such provocations are representatives of the CIA and the Pentagon, who in September reported to the [US] President on the alleged controllability of ‘opposition’ fighters, but today are lobbying for ‘kinetic’ scenarios in Syria”. (source)
If actions take the place of words, it’s game on
As the war of words continues, we need to be watchful of signs that physical actions are going to take the place of rhetoric.
Unlike the announcements that were made to the general public at the start of World War II, we will probably find out retrospectively that an incident has occurred that has dumped us into a war.
At that point, I have little doubt that the United States will erupt into chaos. People who haven’t prepared for it will be panicking.
Depending on how the scenario is presented, stores could be empty within hours, gas stations could run dry in a short space of time, and fights could break out over supplies when several people want the last thing in the store.
If it goes down like that, it will be too late to get any last minute essentials – looting and riots will break out, the military will be deployed, and very unpleasant steps will be taken to maintain order.
Regardless of who started it, we are the ones who will suffer.
When the annoying sibling keeps prodding the other sibling, eventually, the other one will snap. That’s what we have here.
Due to the constant interference of the Obama administration in situations and conflicts that have nothing to do with them (cough*Syria*cough*Ukraine*cough), we have been brought to the brink of war.
Unfortunately, this is out of our hands. All we can do is prepare for these uncertain times.